Episode 004: “From Lab Coat to Trend Charts: Dr. Kevin Maki on Evidence-Based Allocation”
Episode 004: From Lab Coat to Trend Charts: Dr. Kevin Maki In Episode 004 of Turtle Talk, Rich, Adam and Jerry are joined by evidence-based investor Dr. Kevin Maki for a sharp, data-driven conversation on trend following from the investor’s seat. They dive into drawdowns, model robustness, and the overlooked edge of momentum quality, all through the lens of disciplined, statistical thinking. It’s smart, unscripted, and packed with real-world trend insight. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_mpU78noos 🎙️ In this episode, Rich Brennan, Adam Havryliv and Jerry Parker are joined by a powerhouse guest: Dr. Kevin Maki — biomedical researcher turned evidence-based investor, for a deep, clear-eyed discussion on trend following from the investor’s point of view. ✅ May’s Drawdown — What it means for allocators, managers, and the myth of “trend is dead”✅ Markets in Focus — Platinum’s breakout, crude oil chaos, and why lower ATRs might be the green shoots of change✅ Model Robustness — How Kevin uses win rates, standard deviation bands, and coin-flip logic to manage degradation✅ Momentum Quality — The underappreciated edge that filters noisy trends from steady risers✅ Allocator Strategy — Tax loss harvesting, ETF rebalancing, and how Kevin allocates in and out of trend regimes✅ Diversification That Works — Why a portfolio of models beats a model of a portfolio — especially under stress 📉 Plus, we dig into dispersion, risk release mechanics, and the curious comfort of sitting in max drawdown with statistical faith. ⚠️ Note: Due to some persistent tech gremlins, our good friend and trend legend Jerry Parker dropped out partway through this episode. We’ve done our best to stitch things together in post-production — and Jerry will be back, loud and clear, next month. 🎧 A must-listen for traders, quants, and allocators who want to understand the mindset behind enduring the pain and sticking with the process. Got Questions?Send them in and you might feature in next month’s Shell Mail!🔗 Submit your questions here: https://www.aussieturtles.com/contact-us/ 🔎 Mentioned in this episode: Battle of the Trend Following Indexes: https://www.aussieturtles.com/battle-of-the-trend-following-indexes-may-2025-2/ Rising Stars and Trend Titans: https://atstradingsolutions.com/rising-stars-and-trend-titans-may-2025/ 📡 Subscribe, rate, and share Turtle Talk — the podcast for those who thrive through uncertainty and believe in rules, resilience, and the power of process. 🔥 May the trend be with you! 🔥 🎙️ Turtle Talk is here to equip traders and enthusiasts with the tools to succeed in the ever-evolving world of trend following. Make sure to subscribe, rate, and share the podcast!
Episode 003: “High Octane Classic Trend with Moritz Seibert”
Episode 003: Featuring Special Guest Moritz Seibert – “Outliers, Drawdowns, and the Edge of Classic Trend” In Episode 003 of Turtle Talk, Rich, Adam, and Jerry are joined by trend tactician Moritz Seibert for a wide-ranging, no-filter discussion on navigating drawdowns, unleashing outliers, and staying true to the classic trend code. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHmK1uqRgcE In this episode Rich Brennan, Adam Havryliv, and trend-following legend Jerry Parker are joined by a powerhouse guest: Moritz Seibert — co-founder of Twoquants and CEO of Takahē Capital — for a deep, candid, and refreshingly real dive into the sharp end of classic trend following. ✅ April’s Shakeout — What hit the Classic Trend Index, and why short-term pain is the price of long-term edge✅ Markets in Focus — Cocoa, JGBs, Gold, EUR/USD, and the S&P 500: trend trades, whipsaws, and holding through chaos✅ Volatility Targeting vs Outlier Hunting — Why dynamic sizing might be capping the very returns you’re chasing✅ The Launch of Takahē’s High-Vol Fund — Moritz shares why he’s going all-in on raw, classic trend✅ Drawdown Myths Debunked — The truth about compounding, closed equity, and using house money to swing for outliers✅ Turtle Tidbits — Jerry slams the “down 50%, need 100%” cliché with pure trend logic 🎙️ This is a must-listen for traders, allocators, and purists alike — anyone who believes in rules, resilience, and the power of process. Got Questions?Send them in and you might feature in next month’s Shell Mail🔗 Submit your questions here 🔎 Mentioned in this episode: Battle of the Trend Following Indexes: https://www.aussieturtles.com/battle-of-the-trend-following-indexes-april-2025/ Rising Stars and Trend Titans: https://atstradingsolutions.com/rising-stars-and-trend-titans-april-2025/ 📡 Subscribe, rate, and share Turtle Talk — the podcast for those who thrive through uncertainty and live by the rules of robust trend. 🔥 May the trend be with you! 🔥 🎙️ Turtle Talk is here to equip traders and enthusiasts with the tools to succeed in the ever-evolving world of trend following. Make sure to subscribe, rate, and share the podcast!
Episode 002: “Riding the Storm with Salem Abraham”
Episode 002: “Riding the Storm with Salem Abraham” In Episode 002 of Turtle Talk, Rich, Adam, and Jerry are joined by trend-following legend Salem Abraham for a no-holds-barred conversation about thriving in turbulent markets. They break down the latest trend-following index battle, tackle myths about crisis alpha, swap real-world war stories from volatile trades, and show why embracing uncertainty—not fighting it—is at the heart of true trend following. It’s raw, real, and pure trend DNA. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ctR-Po2cOeE Turtle Talk Episode 002: Riding the Storm with Salem Abraham In this month’s episode of Turtle Talk, Rich Brennan, Adam Havryliv, and trend-following legend Jerry Parker are joined by a very special guest — the one and only Salem Abraham — for a wide-ranging, candid, and often hilarious dive into the timeless world of trend following. ✅ How the Classic Trend Following approach holds up in messy, volatile markets — and why it’s built for chaos, not calm.✅ Battle of the Trend Following Indexes: March 2025 results — and why pure trend followers continue to show strength in adversity.✅ Gold, Copper, and Commodities — Salem and Jerry break down real-world lessons from this year’s wild price action.✅ MythBusters: The truth about “Crisis Alpha” — and why trend followers should stick to process over promises.✅ Shell Mail Q&A — listener questions on robust system design, risk concentration, pyramiding trades, and more. 🎙️ It’s a must-listen for anyone who believes in letting profits run, cutting losses short, and thriving through uncertainty. Got Questions?Send them in, and we’ll try to feature them on the next episode!🔗 Submit your questions here Reports Mentioned in This Episode:1️⃣ Battle of the Trend Following Indexes: March 2025 🎙️ Turtle Talk is here to equip traders and enthusiasts with the tools to succeed in the ever-evolving world of trend following. Make sure to subscribe, rate, and share the podcast! 🔜 Next Month: We’re thrilled to welcome Moritz Seibert to Turtle Talk — get your questions in early for another packed episode! 🔥 May the trend be with you! 🔥 🎙️ Turtle Talk is here to equip traders and enthusiasts with the tools to succeed in the ever-evolving world of trend following. Make sure to subscribe, rate, and share the podcast! 🔥 May the trend be with you! 🔥
Episode 001: “The Classic Trend Addicts are Back”
Episode 001: “The Classic Trend Addicts are Back” In the debut episode of Turtle Talk, Rich, Adam, and trend-following legend Jerry Parker dive into the raw, unfiltered world of Classic Trend Following. They break down the latest trend-following index battle, spotlight rising stars, debunk common myths, and explain why chasing outliers—not smoothing returns—is the key to long-term success. No overlays, no shortcuts—just pure trend addiction! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W_uQfwVarKo Welcome to the inaugural episode of Turtle Talk!. Listen to Rich Brennan, Adam Havryliv, and trend-following legend Jerry Parker as they break down: ✅ The Battle of the Trend Following Indexes—how the Classic Trend Index stacks up against modern trend benchmarks.✅ The biggest market movers in January—what’s driving performance, from the U.S. dollar surge to wild commodity trends.✅ Rising Stars & Trend Titans—which traders are standing out in systematic trend following.✅ Classic Trend Following vs. Modern Overlays—why sticking to the purest form of trend following matters.✅ MythBusters: “Risk Management Will Kill You”—Jerry’s take on why excessive risk overlays could be ruining trend-following strategies. We’re here to challenge conventional thinking, uncover market truths, and embrace the wiggly ride of true trend following. Got Questions Send them in, and we’ll try to feature them on the next episode!🔗 Submit your questions here Reports Mentioned in This Episode 1️⃣ Battle of the Trend Following Indexes: January 2025🔗 Read the report 2️⃣ Rising Stars and Trend Titans: January 2025🔗 Read the report 🎙️ Turtle Talk is here to equip traders and enthusiasts with the tools to succeed in the ever-evolving world of trend following. Make sure to subscribe, rate, and share the podcast! 🔜 Next Month: We put Salem Abraham under the spotlight—don’t miss it! 🔥 May the trend be with you! 🔥
